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Peso rebounds as markets eye Russia-Ukraine talks

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February 19, 2025
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Peso rebounds as markets eye Russia-Ukraine talks
BW FILE PHOTO

THE PESO went up versus the dollar on Wednesday as sentiment improved amid the start of bilateral talks between the United States and Russia on the war in Ukraine.

The local unit closed at P58.088 per dollar on Wednesday, strengthening by 6.20 centavos from its P58.15 finish on Tuesday, Bankers Association of the Philippines data showed.

The peso opened Wednesday’s trading session weaker at P58.20 against the dollar, which was also its intraday low. Meanwhile, it climbed to as high as P58.07 versus the greenback.

Dollars exchanged went down to $1.25 billion on Wednesday from $1.67 billion on Tuesday.

The peso inched up against the dollar on Wednesday after the start of talks between the US and Russia, Rizal Commercial Banking Corp. Chief Economist Michael L. Ricafort said in a Viber message.

“The peso recovered slightly amid increasing optimism from the ongoing peace talks concerning the Russia-Ukraine war,” a trader likewise said in an e-mail.

For Thursday, the trader said the peso could weaken due to potentially hawkish signals from the minutes of the US Federal Reserve’s policy meeting set to be released overnight.

The trader expects the peso to move between P58 and P58.25 per dollar, while Mr. Ricafort said it could range from P57.95 to P58.15.

US President Donald J. Trump’s administration said on Tuesday it had agreed to hold more talks with Russia on ending the war in Ukraine after an initial meeting that excluded Kyiv, a departure from Washington’s previous approach that rallied US allies to isolate Russian President Vladimir Putin, Reuters reported.

As the 4-1/2-hour meeting in the Saudi capital was underway, Russia hardened its demands, notably insisting it would not tolerate the NATO alliance granting membership to Ukraine.

Later on Tuesday, Mr. Trump said he was more confident after the talks and he would probably meet with Mr. Putin before the end of the month.

“Russia wants to do something,” Mr. Trump told reporters in Palm Beach, Florida. He brushed aside Ukraine’s concern about being left out of the meeting and said Kyiv should have entered talks much earlier.

“I think I have the power to end this war,” said Mr. Trump.

The talks in Riyadh were the first time US and Russian officials met to discuss ways to halt the deadliest conflict in Europe since World War II. Ukraine has said it will not accept any deal imposed without its consent, and German Chancellor Olaf Scholz reiterated “there must be no decision over the heads of Ukraine.”

Even before the talks took place, some European politicians accused Trump’s administration of handing free concessions to Moscow last week by ruling out NATO membership for Ukraine and saying it was an illusion for Kyiv to believe it could win back the 20% of its territory now under Russian control.

US National Security Adviser Mike Waltz told reporters in Riyadh that the war must come to a permanent end, and this would involve negotiations over territory.

“Just a practical reality is that there is going to be some discussion of territory and there’s going to be discussion of security guarantees,” he said.

High-level teams would begin talks on ending the conflict and would separately work to restore the countries’ respective diplomatic missions in Washington and Moscow to ease the talks going forward, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio said.

Mr. Rubio said he came away from the initial talks convinced that Russia was “willing to begin to engage in a serious process” but that reaching peace would involve concessions from all sides.

Russian officials did not mention offering any concessions and US officials did not claim to have scored any in Tuesday’s meeting, leading observers to doubt whether the talks would turn into serious peace negotiations.

Addressing Ukrainian and European concerns, Mr. Rubio said no one was being sidelined and any solution must be acceptable to all parties.

Mr. Rubio later spoke to the top diplomats of France, Germany, Italy, Britain and the EU to brief them on the talks, State Department spokesperson Tammy Bruce said.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said he had postponed a visit to Saudi Arabia planned for Wednesday until next month. Sources familiar with the matter said the decision was made to avoid giving “legitimacy” to the US-Russia talks.

Kyiv says talks on how to end the war should not be held behind Ukraine’s back. — A.M.C. Sy with Reuters

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