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UK labour market cools: jobs and pay growth slow, says ONS

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September 16, 2025
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UK labour market cools: jobs and pay growth slow, says ONS

Britain’s labour market showed fresh signs of cooling in August as payroll employment fell again and the pace of wage growth slowed, according to official figures.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) said the number of people on payrolls dropped by 8,000 to 30.3 million in August, following a revised fall of 6,000 in July. Over the past 12 months, payrolls have contracted by 127,000.

The unemployment rate held steady at 4.7% in the three months to July, in line with forecasts, but the latest data underlines a slowdown in hiring as demand for workers continues to weaken. Vacancies fell by 10,000 to 728,000, extending a run of 38 consecutive months of declining job openings.

Pay growth also softened. Average weekly earnings excluding bonuses grew by 4.8%, down from 5%, while pay including bonuses rose 4.7%. Economists and the Bank of England track wage data closely as a key driver of inflation.

The figures come ahead of the Bank of England’s latest policy meeting this week. Rates are expected to remain unchanged at 4% after being cut in August — the fifth reduction in a year. Market pricing suggests they could stay on hold for the rest of 2025, with policymakers signalling they are prioritising the fight against inflation despite evidence of a cooling jobs market.

Inflation data due on Wednesday is forecast to show annual price growth of between 3.8% and 3.9% in August, nearly double the Bank’s 2% target.

Liz McKeown, ONS director of economic statistics, said: “The labour market continues to cool, with the number of people on payroll falling again, while firms also told us there were fewer jobs in the latest period.”

The combination of weaker hiring, falling vacancies and moderating pay growth will add to concerns that the post-pandemic jobs boom has definitively run its course, with sectors from retail to construction reporting sharp slowdowns in demand for workers.

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